Idea in Brief

The Problem

Despite tightening financial regulations, such as Sarbanes-Oxley and Dodd-Frank, investors, board members, and executives are still unable to rely on financial statements in order to make wise decisions about whether to invest in or acquire a company, for several reasons.

Why It Happens

First, flawed estimates creep in to financial statements, even when made in good faith. Second, standard metrics often don’t capture the true value of companies, especially for innovative firms in new markets. And third, executives continue to face strong incentives to manipulate the numbers.

What to Do About It

In this article, the authors examine the impact of recent financial regulations and consider new techniques to combat the gaming of performance numbers.

In a perfect world, investors, board members, and executives would have full confidence in companies’ financial statements. They could rely on the numbers to make intelligent estimates of the magnitude, timing, and uncertainty of future cash flows and to judge whether the resulting estimate of value was fairly represented in the current stock price. And they could make wise decisions about whether to invest in or acquire a company, thus promoting the efficient allocation of capital.

A version of this article appeared in the July–August 2016 issue (pp.76–84) of Harvard Business Review.